New 2020 data on I-526 petitions filed for EB-5 shows the interest is on a declining trend for the thirty year old program.
After USCIS made an announcement in July 2019 on reforms increasing the price to $900K, there is no real huge rush for EB-5 applications filed, taking advantage of the the $500,000 pricing.
The petitions filed from Jul-Aug 2019 stands only 1,191 applications much lower than that of the Q1 petitions filed.
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For 2019, the refusal rate for petitions hit peak during Q3 but then dropped sharply. There are a total of 13,763 pending petitions according to the latest USCIS update
I-526 | Received | Approved | Denied | Refusal % |
Oct – Dec | 1808 | 2175 | 398 | 22.01% |
Jan-Mar | 580 | 795 | 180 | 31.03% |
Apr-Jun | 615 | 333 | 246 | 40.00% |
Jul-Sep | 1191 | 356 | 190 | 15.95% |
Overall, the petitions filed for 2019 remains low from all time high in 2015 and 2016.
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The recent google search trends showed a decline in search interest for EB-5 scheme, since the end of 2019 after the price hike is announced, while the interest for CBI/Golden visa schemes spiked
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Despite US passport recently rated as sixth best travel document in the world, the interest for EB-5 is gradually declining, and part of the reasons is long waiting times for chinese and doubling the prices could deter foreign investors. Currently the european golden visa schemes in Greece/Portugal are much cheaper than EB-5 attracting more clients for real estate, with easy simple application process and less waiting times.
The EB-5 still continues to remain as the world’s best immigrant investor program and with the price increase came into effect in Nov 21, 2019.